Bexley Borough’s ‘Generation Rent’ to keep on growing
Some commentators are saying that buy to let is about to die, with the new stamp duty changes and how mortgage tax relief will be calculated. Have you heard the phrase “Bad news sells newspapers”? Some claim that, nationally, 500,000 rental properties will flood the market in the next 12 months as landlords leave the rental market.
I’m here to explain
why buy to let in Bexley Borough is only going in one direction – and not the
one the papers say!
According to
Sheffield University, a centre of excellence on the topic, buy to let landlords
will continue fuelling the growth of the private rented sector in coming
decades. They estimate that the rate of homeownership nationally will fall to
50% (today it is 84% in the area) by 2032, while the rate of private sector
renting will increase to 35% (interestingly, in the Borough it’s currently less
than half of this). This shows that the demand for rental
accommodation in Bexley Borough is only going to increase.
These are the reasons
why, irrespective of the newspapers’ claims:
·
Over the last six
years Bexley Borough property values have risen a lot more than average wages. As
homeownership and mortgage availability depend on ability to pay, home
ownership is further out of reach for many, at a time when the stock of council
houses has withered. (Nationally, the number of council houses in the last ten
years has dropped 31.1%, from 3.16m to 2.18m households.)
·
The Tories’ efforts
to fix the deficiency of affordable housing have focused on those who want to
buy a home, ranging from Help to Buy and their much-vaunted Help to Buy Isa,
and Starter Homes Scheme, an initiative offering a 20% discount to first time
buyers. But if they can’t save for the deposit this means nothing to the
20-somethings of Bexley Borough, who still need a roof over their heads!
·
With the new rules on
tax, more landlords will be looking to move away from the one-time honeypot of
central London, because its higher prices mean lower rental yields. Together
with London’s cooling of house price inflation, more will look further afield,
including to Bexleyheath. (I have had the interesting experience of chatting
with several central London landlords who got in touch after reading the
Bexleyheath Property Blog).
This prediction of growth of the
Bexley Borough rental market is despite the government clamping down on tax
reliefs for landlords. The days of making guaranteed returns on BTL property
are gone. For the last 20 to 30 years, regardless of which property you bought,
making decent money on buy to let property was like shooting fish in a barrel –
anyone could do it. Today, however, you must take a more considered approach to
your existing and future portfolio, especially in Bexley Borough. The balance
of capital growth and yield, particularly in the current low interest rate
environment, means that landlords need to do more homework to ensure that their
investment gives the desired returns.
One place for landlords and
homeowners to find this information is on the Bexley Borough Property News Blog:
www.bexleyproperty.co.uk. You’re also more than welcome to give us a call on
01322 559955 or pop in for a chat. Our office is located in the heart of Bexley
Village (next door to the King’s Head Public House).
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